Match Analysis

Adelaide United FCvsBrisbane Roar FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
23%
38%
Adelaide United FC winDrawBrisbane Roar FC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
1.00Avg goals scored2.00
2.00Avg goals conceded1.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Adelaide United FC xG

Expected goals

1.6

Brisbane Roar FC xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Adelaide United FC

Adelaide United FC

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Brisbane Roar FC

Brisbane Roar FC

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Adelaide United FC vs Brisbane Roar FC?

Adelaide United FC is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Adelaide United FC's current form?

Adelaide United FC have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 1 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Adelaide United FC Win39%
Draw23%
Brisbane Roar FC Win38%
BTTS64%
Over 2.562%