Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Adelaide United xG
Expected goals
2
Melbourne Victory xG
39%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
15%
0–2
15%
0–3
10%
1–1
9%
1–2
9%
0–0
7%
Home
Adelaide United
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Melbourne Victory
PPG
1.00
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 8 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory?
Melbourne Victory is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Adelaide United's current form?
Adelaide United have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 8 A-League meetings, Adelaide United won 2, drew 2, and Melbourne Victory won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 8 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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