Match Analysis

Auckland FCvsMelbourne City FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
21%
33%
Auckland FC winDrawMelbourne City FC win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
2.47Avg goals scored1.00
3.12Avg goals conceded1.94
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Auckland FC xG

Expected goals

1.7

Melbourne City FC xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 3.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Auckland FC vs Melbourne City FC?

Auckland FC is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Auckland FC's current form?

Auckland FC have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Auckland FC Win46%
Draw21%
Melbourne City FC Win33%
BTTS71%
Over 2.571%