Match Analysis

Auckland FCvsMelbourne Victory

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
22%
34%
Auckland FC winDrawMelbourne Victory win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
2.47Avg goals scored1.00
3.12Avg goals conceded1.48
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Auckland FC xG

Expected goals

1.7

Melbourne Victory xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

1–0

5%

Home

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 3.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory?

Auckland FC is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Auckland FC's current form?

Auckland FC have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Auckland FC Win44%
Draw22%
Melbourne Victory Win34%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%