Match Analysis

Auckland Fc vs Melbourne Victory

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
27%
10%
Auckland FC winDrawMelbourne Victory win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
1.52Avg goals scored0.00
0.44Avg goals conceded1.00
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Auckland FC xG

Expected goals

0.4

Melbourne Victory xG

28%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

19%

20

18%

30

11%

00

10%

11

8%

21

7%

Home

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

LWWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

LWDDL

PPG

1.00

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Auckland Fcall timeMelbourne Victory
2W
3D
1W
11 Apr 26
Auckland FC22Melbourne Victory
18 Oct 25
Melbourne Victory00Auckland FC
24 May 25
Auckland FC02Melbourne Victory
17 May 25
Melbourne Victory01Auckland FC
19 Apr 25
Melbourne Victory02Auckland FC
1 Jan 25
Auckland FC00Melbourne Victory

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Auckland Fc vs Melbourne Victory?

Auckland FC is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Auckland Fc's current form?

Auckland Fc have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 A-League meetings, Auckland Fc won 2, drew 3, and Melbourne Victory won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 28%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Auckland FC Win63%
Draw27%
Melbourne Victory Win10%
BTTS28%
Over 2.540%

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