Match Analysis

Auckland FCvsWellington Phoenix

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
22%
43%
Auckland FC winDrawWellington Phoenix win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
2.47Avg goals scored2.00
3.13Avg goals conceded0.47
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Auckland FC xG

Expected goals

1.9

Wellington Phoenix xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

0–2

5%

Home

Auckland FC

Auckland FC

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 3.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix?

Wellington Phoenix is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Auckland FC's current form?

Auckland FC have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Auckland FC Win35%
Draw22%
Wellington Phoenix Win43%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%