Match Analysis

Central Coast Mariners FCvsBrisbane Roar FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
23%
40%
Central Coast Mariners FC winDrawBrisbane Roar FC win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.60
0.93Avg goals scored2.00
2.00Avg goals conceded1.00
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Central Coast Mariners FC xG

Expected goals

1.6

Brisbane Roar FC xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Central Coast Mariners FC

Central Coast Mariners FC

DDLWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Brisbane Roar FC

Brisbane Roar FC

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Central Coast Mariners FC vs Brisbane Roar FC?

Brisbane Roar FC is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Central Coast Mariners FC's current form?

Central Coast Mariners FC have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Central Coast Mariners FC Win37%
Draw23%
Brisbane Roar FC Win40%
BTTS64%
Over 2.562%