Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Central Coast Mariners xG
Expected goals
1.3
Perth Glory xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
9%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
1–2
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Central Coast Mariners
Away
Perth Glory
Head-to-Head · Last 8 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory?
Central Coast Mariners is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 8 A-League meetings, Central Coast Mariners won 3, drew 3, and Perth Glory won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Form data unavailable — equal weighting applied
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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