Match Analysis

Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
29%
31%
Central Coast Mariners winDrawPerth Glory win

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Central Coast Mariners xG

Expected goals

1.3

Perth Glory xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

12%

01

9%

10

9%

21

9%

12

8%

00

7%

Home

Central Coast Mariners

No data

Away

Perth Glory

No data

Head-to-Head · Last 8 meetings

Central Coast Marinersall timePerth Glory
3W
3D
2W
4 Apr 26
Central Coast Mariners22Perth Glory
10 Jan 26
Perth Glory30Central Coast Mariners
7 Nov 25
Perth Glory01Central Coast Mariners
30 Mar 25
Central Coast Mariners31Perth Glory
7 Feb 25
Perth Glory11Central Coast Mariners
2 Nov 24
Central Coast Mariners00Perth Glory
31 Dec 23
Central Coast Mariners42Perth Glory
4 Nov 23
Perth Glory20Central Coast Mariners

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory?

Central Coast Mariners is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 8 A-League meetings, Central Coast Mariners won 3, drew 3, and Perth Glory won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Form data unavailable — equal weighting applied

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Central Coast Mariners Win40%
Draw29%
Perth Glory Win31%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%

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