Match Analysis

Macarthur FCvsBrisbane Roar FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
24%
33%
Macarthur FC winDrawBrisbane Roar FC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
1.47Avg goals scored2.00
1.00Avg goals conceded1.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Macarthur FC xG

Expected goals

1.5

Brisbane Roar FC xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Brisbane Roar FC

Brisbane Roar FC

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar FC?

Macarthur FC is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Macarthur FC's current form?

Macarthur FC have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Macarthur FC Win43%
Draw24%
Brisbane Roar FC Win33%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%