Match Analysis

Macarthur Fc vs Melbourne City Fc

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
30%
28%
Macarthur Fc winDrawMelbourne City FC win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.80
0.00Avg goals scored1.00
0.00Avg goals conceded1.00
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Macarthur Fc xG

Expected goals

1

Melbourne City FC xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

13%

11

13%

00

11%

01

11%

20

8%

21

8%

Home

Macarthur Fc

No data

Away

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Macarthur Fcall timeMelbourne City Fc
3W
2D
1W
24 Jan 26
Macarthur FC62Melbourne City FC
23 Dec 25
Melbourne City FC11Macarthur FC
7 Mar 25
Melbourne City FC20Macarthur FC
25 Jan 25
Macarthur FC10Melbourne City FC
1 Mar 24
Macarthur FC20Melbourne City FC
12 Nov 23
Melbourne City FC33Macarthur FC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Macarthur Fc vs Melbourne City Fc?

Macarthur Fc is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 A-League meetings, Macarthur Fc won 3, drew 2, and Melbourne City Fc won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Macarthur Fc Win42%
Draw30%
Melbourne City FC Win28%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%

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