Match Analysis

Macarthur FCvsMelbourne City FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
23%
29%
Macarthur FC winDrawMelbourne City FC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
1.48Avg goals scored1.00
1.00Avg goals conceded1.93
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Macarthur FC xG

Expected goals

1.3

Melbourne City FC xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City FC?

Macarthur FC is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Macarthur FC's current form?

Macarthur FC have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Macarthur FC Win48%
Draw23%
Melbourne City FC Win29%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%