Match Analysis

Melbourne City Fc vs Sydney Fc

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
33%
21%
Melbourne City FC winDrawSydney FC win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
1.00Avg goals scored0.70
1.00Avg goals conceded0.79
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Melbourne City FC xG

Expected goals

0.8

Sydney FC xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

17%

10

17%

01

13%

11

13%

20

8%

21

7%

Home

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

LWDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Melbourne City Fcall timeSydney Fc
4W
2D
17 Mar 26
Sydney FC01Melbourne City FC
3 Jan 26
Melbourne City FC00Sydney FC
3 May 25
Melbourne City FC51Sydney FC
29 Mar 25
Sydney FC23Melbourne City FC
24 Feb 24
Sydney FC11Melbourne City FC
3 Nov 23
Melbourne City FC20Sydney FC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Melbourne City Fc vs Sydney Fc?

Melbourne City FC is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Melbourne City Fc's current form?

Melbourne City Fc have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 A-League meetings, Melbourne City Fc won 4, drew 2, and Sydney Fc won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Melbourne City FC Win46%
Draw33%
Sydney FC Win21%
BTTS35%
Over 2.527%

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