Match Analysis

Melbourne City FCvsSydney FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
25%
38%
Melbourne City FC winDrawSydney FC win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
1.00Avg goals scored1.07
1.93Avg goals conceded0.53
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Melbourne City FC xG

Expected goals

1.5

Sydney FC xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

DDLWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC?

Sydney FC is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Melbourne City FC's current form?

Melbourne City FC have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Melbourne City FC Win37%
Draw25%
Sydney FC Win38%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%