Melbourne City Fc vs Sydney Fc
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Melbourne City FC xG
Expected goals
0.8
Sydney FC xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
17%
1–0
17%
0–1
13%
1–1
13%
2–0
8%
2–1
7%
Home
Melbourne City FC
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Sydney FC
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Melbourne City Fc vs Sydney Fc?
Melbourne City FC is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Melbourne City Fc's current form?
Melbourne City Fc have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 A-League meetings, Melbourne City Fc won 4, drew 2, and Sydney Fc won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from A-League