Melbourne Victoryvs
Newcastle Jets
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Melbourne Victory xG
Expected goals
1.5
Newcastle Jets xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
2–1
9%
1–2
8%
0–1
7%
1–0
7%
2–0
6%
Home
Melbourne Victory
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Newcastle Jets
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets?
Melbourne Victory is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Melbourne Victory's current form?
Melbourne Victory have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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