Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Melbourne Victory xG
Expected goals
1.1
Newcastle Jets xG
47%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
1–0
12%
0–1
11%
0–0
10%
2–1
8%
1–2
7%
Home
Melbourne Victory
PPG
1.00
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Newcastle Jets
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets?
Newcastle Jets is favored with a 34% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Melbourne Victory's current form?
Melbourne Victory have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 A-League meetings, Melbourne Victory won 1, drew 3, and Newcastle Jets won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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