Match Analysis

Newcastle JetsvsMacarthur FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
24%
35%
Newcastle Jets winDrawMacarthur FC win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.40
1.47Avg goals scored1.47
1.47Avg goals conceded1.00
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Newcastle Jets xG

Expected goals

1.5

Macarthur FC xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–0

6%

Home

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

DDDLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC?

Newcastle Jets is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Newcastle Jets's current form?

Newcastle Jets have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Newcastle Jets Win41%
Draw24%
Macarthur FC Win35%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%