Match Analysis

Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur Fc

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
31%
33%
Newcastle Jets winDrawMacarthur Fc win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.00
1.00Avg goals scored0.00
1.00Avg goals conceded0.00
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Newcastle Jets xG

Expected goals

1

Macarthur Fc xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

13%

11

13%

00

11%

01

11%

20

8%

21

8%

Home

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

LDWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Macarthur Fc

No data

Head-to-Head · Last 8 meetings

Newcastle Jetsall timeMacarthur Fc
2W
3D
3W
2 Apr 26
Macarthur FC32Newcastle Jets
22 Feb 26
Newcastle Jets10Macarthur FC
26 Dec 25
Newcastle Jets45Macarthur FC
28 Mar 25
Macarthur FC33Newcastle Jets
12 Jan 25
Newcastle Jets13Macarthur FC
25 Oct 24
Macarthur FC12Newcastle Jets
25 Feb 24
Newcastle Jets22Macarthur FC
5 Jan 24
Macarthur FC11Newcastle Jets

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur Fc?

Newcastle Jets is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Newcastle Jets's current form?

Newcastle Jets have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 8 A-League meetings, Newcastle Jets won 2, drew 3, and Macarthur Fc won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 8 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Newcastle Jets Win36%
Draw31%
Macarthur Fc Win33%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%

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