Match Analysis

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Fc

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
26%
34%
Newcastle Jets winDrawWellington Phoenix Fc win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.00
1.00Avg goals scored0.00
1.00Avg goals conceded0.00
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Newcastle Jets xG

Expected goals

1

Wellington Phoenix Fc xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

13%

11

13%

00

11%

01

11%

20

8%

21

8%

Home

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

LDWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Wellington Phoenix Fc

No data

Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings

Newcastle Jetsall timeWellington Phoenix Fc
3W
1D
3W
23 Jan 26
Newcastle Jets41Wellington Phoenix FC
14 Dec 25
Wellington Phoenix FC13Newcastle Jets
6 Apr 25
Newcastle Jets12Wellington Phoenix FC
28 Dec 24
Wellington Phoenix FC21Newcastle Jets
19 Apr 24
Newcastle Jets11Wellington Phoenix FC
27 Jan 24
Newcastle Jets12Wellington Phoenix FC
9 Dec 23
Wellington Phoenix FC03Newcastle Jets

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Fc?

Newcastle Jets is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Newcastle Jets's current form?

Newcastle Jets have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 7 A-League meetings, Newcastle Jets won 3, drew 1, and Wellington Phoenix Fc won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Newcastle Jets Win40%
Draw26%
Wellington Phoenix Fc Win34%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%

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