Match Analysis

Perth Glory FCvsMelbourne City FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
23%
34%
Perth Glory FC winDrawMelbourne City FC win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
1.00Avg goals scored1.00
2.00Avg goals conceded1.94
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Perth Glory FC xG

Expected goals

1.5

Melbourne City FC xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Perth Glory FC

Perth Glory FC

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Melbourne City FC

Melbourne City FC

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Perth Glory FC vs Melbourne City FC?

Perth Glory FC is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Perth Glory FC's current form?

Perth Glory FC have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Perth Glory FC Win43%
Draw23%
Melbourne City FC Win34%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%