Perth Glory vs Adelaide United
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Perth Glory xG
Expected goals
0.5
Adelaide United xG
36%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
16%
1–0
13%
3–0
13%
2–1
8%
4–0
8%
1–1
7%
Home
Perth Glory
Away
Adelaide United
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?
Perth Glory is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 A-League meetings, Perth Glory won 1, drew 2, and Adelaide United won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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