Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Perth Glory xG
Expected goals
1
Newcastle Jets xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
11%
0–1
11%
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
Home
Perth Glory
Away
Newcastle Jets
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?
Perth Glory is favored with a 33% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 7 A-League meetings, Perth Glory won 1, drew 4, and Newcastle Jets won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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