Match Analysis

Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
36%
31%
Perth Glory winDrawNewcastle Jets win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.20
0.00Avg goals scored1.00
0.00Avg goals conceded1.00
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Perth Glory xG

Expected goals

1

Newcastle Jets xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

13%

11

13%

00

11%

01

11%

20

8%

21

8%

Home

Perth Glory

No data

Away

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

LDWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings

Perth Gloryall timeNewcastle Jets
1W
4D
2W
13 Feb 26
Perth Glory13Newcastle Jets
23 Nov 25
Newcastle Jets12Perth Glory
25 Jan 25
Newcastle Jets22Perth Glory
14 Dec 24
Perth Glory04Newcastle Jets
9 Mar 24
Perth Glory22Newcastle Jets
16 Dec 23
Newcastle Jets22Perth Glory
22 Oct 23
Perth Glory22Newcastle Jets

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?

Perth Glory is favored with a 33% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 7 A-League meetings, Perth Glory won 1, drew 4, and Newcastle Jets won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Perth Glory Win33%
Draw36%
Newcastle Jets Win31%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi