Match Analysis

Sydney Fc vs Adelaide United

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

66%
19%
15%
Sydney FC winDrawAdelaide United win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
0.70Avg goals scored0.48
0.79Avg goals conceded2.05
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Sydney FC xG

Expected goals

0.4

Adelaide United xG

28%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

20%

20

18%

00

11%

30

11%

11

8%

21

7%

Home

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

LWDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Adelaide United

Adelaide United

LLDWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 8 meetings

Sydney Fcall timeAdelaide United
4W
1D
3W
14 Feb 26
Sydney FC12Adelaide United
17 Oct 25
Adelaide United21Sydney FC
5 Apr 25
Adelaide United23Sydney FC
1 Feb 25
Sydney FC41Adelaide United
20 Dec 24
Adelaide United33Sydney FC
17 Feb 24
Sydney FC21Adelaide United
13 Jan 24
Adelaide United43Sydney FC
11 Nov 23
Adelaide United15Sydney FC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sydney Fc vs Adelaide United?

Sydney FC is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sydney Fc's current form?

Sydney Fc have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 8 A-League meetings, Sydney Fc won 4, drew 1, and Adelaide United won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 28%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 8 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Sydney FC Win66%
Draw19%
Adelaide United Win15%
BTTS28%
Over 2.538%

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