Match Analysis

Sydney FCvsAdelaide United FC

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
24%
29%
Sydney FC winDrawAdelaide United FC win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
1.07Avg goals scored1.00
0.54Avg goals conceded2.00
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Sydney FC xG

Expected goals

1.3

Adelaide United FC xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

DDLWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Adelaide United FC

Adelaide United FC

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sydney FC vs Adelaide United FC?

Sydney FC is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sydney FC's current form?

Sydney FC have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sydney FC Win47%
Draw24%
Adelaide United FC Win29%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%