Match Analysis

Sydney FCvsMelbourne Victory

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
24%
30%
Sydney FC winDrawMelbourne Victory win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.20
1.07Avg goals scored1.00
0.53Avg goals conceded1.47
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Sydney FC xG

Expected goals

1.3

Melbourne Victory xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

DDLWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

DDLWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory?

Sydney FC is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sydney FC's current form?

Sydney FC have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sydney FC Win46%
Draw24%
Melbourne Victory Win30%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%