Match Analysis

Wellington Phoenix Fc vs Macarthur Fc

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
19%
36%
Wellington Phoenix Fc winDrawMacarthur Fc win

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Wellington Phoenix Fc xG

Expected goals

1.3

Macarthur Fc xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

12%

01

9%

10

9%

21

9%

12

8%

00

7%

Home

Wellington Phoenix Fc

No data

Away

Macarthur Fc

No data

Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings

Wellington Phoenix Fcall timeMacarthur Fc
4W
3W
24 Apr 26
Macarthur FC40Wellington Phoenix FC
22 Nov 25
Wellington Phoenix FC01Macarthur FC
20 Jan 25
Macarthur FC12Wellington Phoenix FC
14 Dec 24
Wellington Phoenix FC12Macarthur FC
27 Apr 24
Wellington Phoenix FC30Macarthur FC
18 Feb 24
Macarthur FC12Wellington Phoenix FC
18 Dec 23
Macarthur FC03Wellington Phoenix FC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Wellington Phoenix Fc vs Macarthur Fc?

Wellington Phoenix Fc is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 7 A-League meetings, Wellington Phoenix Fc won 4, drew 0, and Macarthur Fc won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Form data unavailable — equal weighting applied

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Wellington Phoenix Fc Win45%
Draw19%
Macarthur Fc Win36%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%

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