Wellington Phoenix Fc vs Melbourne Victory
AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Wellington Phoenix Fc xG
Expected goals
0.8
Melbourne Victory xG
41%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
16%
1–1
12%
0–0
11%
2–0
11%
0–1
9%
2–1
9%
Home
Wellington Phoenix Fc
Away
Melbourne Victory
PPG
1.00
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 10 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Wellington Phoenix Fc vs Melbourne Victory?
Wellington Phoenix Fc is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 10 A-League meetings, Wellington Phoenix Fc won 3, drew 2, and Melbourne Victory won 5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
PPG fallback model · last 5 matches · H2H 10 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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