Match Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers FCvsWellington Phoenix

AUS A-League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
23%
34%
Western Sydney Wanderers FC winDrawWellington Phoenix win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.40
2.67Avg goals scored2.00
1.07Avg goals conceded0.47
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Western Sydney Wanderers FC xG

Expected goals

1.5

Wellington Phoenix xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.1

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Wellington Phoenix?

Western Sydney Wanderers FC is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Western Sydney Wanderers FC's current form?

Western Sydney Wanderers FC have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Western Sydney Wanderers FC Win43%
Draw23%
Wellington Phoenix Win34%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%