Match Analysis

Athletico-PRvsAtlético-MG

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
23%
36%
Athletico-PR winDrawAtlético-MG win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.84Avg goals scored1.58
1.56Avg goals conceded1.17
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Athletico-PR xG

Expected goals

1.6

Atlético-MG xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG?

Athletico-PR is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Athletico-PR's current form?

Athletico-PR have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Athletico-PR Win41%
Draw23%
Atlético-MG Win36%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%