Match Analysis

Athletico-PRvsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
23%
53%
Athletico-PR winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.84Avg goals scored1.86
1.56Avg goals conceded0.45
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Athletico-PR xG

Expected goals

1.8

Palmeiras xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

0–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–2

9%

0–0

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Athletico-PR vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Athletico-PR's current form?

Athletico-PR have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Athletico-PR Win24%
Draw23%
Palmeiras Win53%
BTTS56%
Over 2.555%