Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsCorinthians

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
20%
18%
Atlético-MG winDrawCorinthians win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.40
1.58Avg goals scored1.15
1.17Avg goals conceded2.02
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

1.1

Corinthians xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

2–0

9%

1–0

8%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Corinthians

Corinthians

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Corinthians?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win62%
Draw20%
Corinthians Win18%
BTTS59%
Over 2.564%