Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsCruzeiro

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
23%
36%
Atlético-MG winDrawCruzeiro win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
1.58Avg goals scored2.08
1.17Avg goals conceded1.38
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

1.6

Cruzeiro xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Cruzeiro?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win41%
Draw23%
Cruzeiro Win36%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%