Match Analysis

Atlético-MGvsRed Bull Bragantino

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
24%
29%
Atlético-MG winDrawRed Bull Bragantino win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.20
1.58Avg goals scored1.33
1.17Avg goals conceded1.27
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Atlético-MG xG

Expected goals

1.2

Red Bull Bragantino xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Red Bull Bragantino

Red Bull Bragantino

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético-MG vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético-MG's current form?

Atlético-MG have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético-MG Win47%
Draw24%
Red Bull Bragantino Win29%
BTTS57%
Over 2.555%