Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Bahia xG
Expected goals
1
Coritiba xG
53%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
11%
1–1
11%
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
0–0
6%
0–1
6%
Home
Bahia
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Coritiba
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.9
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bahia vs Coritiba?
Bahia is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bahia's current form?
Bahia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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