Match Analysis

BahiavsCoritiba

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
23%
21%
Bahia winDrawCoritiba win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.40
1.16Avg goals scored0.82
1.27Avg goals conceded1.94
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Bahia xG

Expected goals

1

Coritiba xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

6%

0–1

6%

Home

Bahia

Bahia

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bahia vs Coritiba?

Bahia is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bahia's current form?

Bahia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bahia Win56%
Draw23%
Coritiba Win21%
BTTS53%
Over 2.553%