Match Analysis

BahiavsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
27%
34%
Bahia winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.16Avg goals scored1.22
1.27Avg goals conceded1.18
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Bahia xG

Expected goals

1.2

Mirassol xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Bahia

Bahia

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bahia vs Mirassol?

Bahia is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bahia's current form?

Bahia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bahia Win39%
Draw27%
Mirassol Win34%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%