Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Bahia xG
Expected goals
1.1
São Paulo xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
1–0
12%
0–1
10%
0–0
9%
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
Home
Bahia
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
São Paulo
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bahia vs São Paulo?
Bahia is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bahia's current form?
Bahia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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