Match Analysis

BotafogovsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
27%
41%
Botafogo winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
0.82Avg goals scored1.17
1.48Avg goals conceded1.28
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1.3

Bahia xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Bahia?

Bahia is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win32%
Draw27%
Bahia Win41%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%