Match Analysis

BotafogovsChapecoense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
25%
30%
Botafogo winDrawChapecoense win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.40
0.82Avg goals scored1.00
1.48Avg goals conceded2.03
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1.2

Chapecoense xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs Chapecoense?

Botafogo is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win45%
Draw25%
Chapecoense Win30%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%