Match Analysis

BotafogovsSão Paulo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
28%
41%
Botafogo winDrawSão Paulo win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
0.82Avg goals scored1.00
1.48Avg goals conceded1.07
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Botafogo xG

Expected goals

1.2

São Paulo xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

11%

1–0

11%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Botafogo

Botafogo

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

São Paulo

São Paulo

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botafogo vs São Paulo?

São Paulo is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botafogo's current form?

Botafogo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botafogo Win31%
Draw28%
São Paulo Win41%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%