Chapecoensevs
Mirassol
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Chapecoense xG
Expected goals
1.7
Mirassol xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
0–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–2
9%
1–0
7%
0–0
6%
Home
Chapecoense
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 2.2
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Mirassol
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
Mirassol is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chapecoense's current form?
Chapecoense have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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