Match Analysis

ChapecoensevsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

13%
19%
68%
Chapecoense winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game2.00
1.00Avg goals scored1.86
2.03Avg goals conceded0.45
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Chapecoense xG

Expected goals

2.2

Palmeiras xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

12%

0–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–3

9%

1–1

9%

1–3

7%

Home

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chapecoense's current form?

Chapecoense have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chapecoense Win13%
Draw19%
Palmeiras Win68%
BTTS49%
Over 2.558%