Match Analysis

CorinthiansvsBotafogo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
25%
34%
Corinthians winDrawBotafogo win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.00
1.15Avg goals scored0.82
2.02Avg goals conceded1.48
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Corinthians xG

Expected goals

1.3

Botafogo xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–0

7%

Home

Corinthians

Corinthians

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Botafogo

Botafogo

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Botafogo?

Corinthians is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Corinthians Win41%
Draw25%
Botafogo Win34%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%