Corinthiansvs
Grêmio
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Corinthians xG
Expected goals
1.6
Grêmio xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
2–1
8%
0–1
7%
1–0
7%
0–2
6%
Home
Corinthians
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Grêmio
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 4D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Grêmio?
Grêmio is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Corinthians's current form?
Corinthians have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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