Match Analysis

CoritibavsBotafogo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
27%
37%
Coritiba winDrawBotafogo win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.00
0.82Avg goals scored0.82
1.93Avg goals conceded1.48
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

1.3

Botafogo xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

10%

1–0

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Botafogo

Botafogo

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Botafogo?

Botafogo is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win36%
Draw27%
Botafogo Win37%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%