Match Analysis

CoritibavsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

13%
18%
69%
Coritiba winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.80
0.81Avg goals scored2.22
1.94Avg goals conceded0.82
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

2.4

Flamengo xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

11%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–3

8%

1–1

8%

1–3

8%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win13%
Draw18%
Flamengo Win69%
BTTS54%
Over 2.564%