Match Analysis

CoritibavsSantos

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
23%
54%
Coritiba winDrawSantos win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.20
0.82Avg goals scored1.45
1.93Avg goals conceded1.11
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

1.8

Santos xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

0–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–2

9%

0–0

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Santos

Santos

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Santos?

Santos is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win23%
Draw23%
Santos Win54%
BTTS56%
Over 2.555%