Match Analysis

CoritibavsVitória

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
25%
46%
Coritiba winDrawVitória win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.00
0.81Avg goals scored1.20
1.94Avg goals conceded1.34
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

1.6

Vitória xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Vitória

Vitória

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Vitória?

Vitória is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win29%
Draw25%
Vitória Win46%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%