Match Analysis

CruzeirovsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
21%
26%
Cruzeiro winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
2.08Avg goals scored1.40
1.38Avg goals conceded1.37
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Cruzeiro xG

Expected goals

1.4

Bahia xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–0

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Cruzeiro is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cruzeiro's current form?

Cruzeiro have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cruzeiro Win53%
Draw21%
Bahia Win26%
BTTS66%
Over 2.568%