Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Cruzeiro xG
Expected goals
1.4
Bahia xG
66%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
2–1
9%
2–0
7%
2–2
7%
3–1
7%
1–0
6%
Home
Cruzeiro
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Bahia
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Cruzeiro is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Cruzeiro's current form?
Cruzeiro have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 16 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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