Match Analysis

CruzeirovsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
25%
46%
Cruzeiro winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
2.08Avg goals scored1.61
1.38Avg goals conceded0.39
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Cruzeiro xG

Expected goals

1.5

Palmeiras xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cruzeiro's current form?

Cruzeiro have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cruzeiro Win29%
Draw25%
Palmeiras Win46%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%