Match Analysis

CruzeirovsSão Paulo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

52%
23%
25%
Cruzeiro winDrawSão Paulo win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
2.08Avg goals scored1.00
1.38Avg goals conceded1.07
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Cruzeiro xG

Expected goals

1.2

São Paulo xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

São Paulo

São Paulo

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cruzeiro vs São Paulo?

Cruzeiro is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cruzeiro's current form?

Cruzeiro have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cruzeiro Win52%
Draw23%
São Paulo Win25%
BTTS58%
Over 2.558%