Match Analysis

FlamengovsChapecoense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

78%
14%
8%
Flamengo winDrawChapecoense win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.40
2.22Avg goals scored1.00
0.82Avg goals conceded2.03
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

0.9

Chapecoense xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

6%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Chapecoense?

Flamengo is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win78%
Draw14%
Chapecoense Win8%
BTTS56%
Over 2.571%