Match Analysis

FlamengovsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

68%
18%
14%
Flamengo winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.80
2.22Avg goals scored1.11
0.82Avg goals conceded1.48
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)0–4–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

0.9

Grêmio xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

8%

3–0

8%

3–1

7%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DLDDD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Grêmio?

Flamengo is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win68%
Draw18%
Grêmio Win14%
BTTS53%
Over 2.562%