Match Analysis

FluminensevsCoritiba

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
20%
17%
Fluminense winDrawCoritiba win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.40
1.60Avg goals scored0.82
1.37Avg goals conceded1.93
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Fluminense xG

Expected goals

1

Coritiba xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Fluminense

Fluminense

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fluminense vs Coritiba?

Fluminense is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fluminense's current form?

Fluminense have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fluminense Win63%
Draw20%
Coritiba Win17%
BTTS56%
Over 2.562%