Match Analysis

FluminensevsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
24%
30%
Fluminense winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.65Avg goals scored1.22
1.32Avg goals conceded1.18
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Fluminense xG

Expected goals

1.3

Mirassol xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

Fluminense

Fluminense

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fluminense vs Mirassol?

Fluminense is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fluminense's current form?

Fluminense have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fluminense Win46%
Draw24%
Mirassol Win30%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%