Match Analysis

GrêmiovsCruzeiro

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
22%
49%
Grêmio winDrawCruzeiro win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
1.11Avg goals scored2.08
1.48Avg goals conceded1.38
0–4–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Grêmio xG

Expected goals

1.9

Cruzeiro xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Grêmio

Grêmio

DLDDD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Away

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Cruzeiro?

Cruzeiro is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Grêmio's current form?

Grêmio have recorded 0W 4D 1L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 14 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Grêmio Win29%
Draw22%
Cruzeiro Win49%
BTTS64%
Over 2.564%