Match Analysis

GrêmiovsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
26%
38%
Grêmio winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.11Avg goals scored1.22
1.48Avg goals conceded1.18
0–4–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Grêmio xG

Expected goals

1.3

Mirassol xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

10%

1–0

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Grêmio

Grêmio

DLDDD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Mirassol?

Mirassol is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Grêmio's current form?

Grêmio have recorded 0W 4D 1L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 15 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Grêmio Win36%
Draw26%
Mirassol Win38%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%